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Re: Rain report - Monday

Posted by Bret B on February 2, 2015, 3:22 pm, in reply to "Re: Rain report - Monday"
189.164.207.233

Is it safe to plug in to the power grid / lightning attractor again? My v2.0 soup can rain gauge says that thunderstorm dropped 1.7" / 43mm in about an hour. Pretty good rain rate! Sorry about the streets and the mess in the bay...

Here is a snapshot of the zoomed-in IR satellite loop showing the yellow elongated blob (presumably the thunderstorm) that passed directly over us:



On the wide view IR loop you can see there is more of the same colors here and there, all streaming up from the ITCZ toward our part of Mexico. It's a shooting gallery and we're the tin rabbit...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/epac/flash-avn.html

Here is the latest TRMM data from a few hrs ago:



The Weather Underground predicts another 0.86" tonight and a little more tomorrow and that's it:
http://www.wunderground.com/q/locid:MXJO0760?

The Mexican model viewer ( http://smn.cna.gob.mx/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=16&Itemid=87 ) shows the GFS model saying we'll get 1-2" today and very little more tomorrow and Wednesday. About the same as WU. I would lean toward this myself also. Here's the GFS model for total accumulated rainfall for today, tomorrow and Wed:



Their in-house WRF-SMN model continues to be a lot wetter than the GFS. It shows us to be barely inside a small zone of 3-6" for today, then another 1-2" tomorrow. Here's the 3-day total accumulation (that's a BIG area of 3-6" surrounding us!):



The good news is that by Wednesday the weather should get back to normal for the foreseeable future.
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