La Manzanilla.info Message Board Archives
Slight chance of rain in next 10 days?
Posted by Bret B on March 8, 2015, 12:47 pm
187.148.141.155
Just in case anyone is planning roof work soon, I wanted to give a "heads-up". Normally March and April are rain-free for La Manzanilla. Actually the 10-years of data show no measurable rain for the 3-month span from mid-February to mid-May. But we've been having unusual weather patterns this year so far, as that rainy spell in February showed. The Weather Underground forecast predicts significant rainfall next weekend (for Barra anyway): a little bit on Friday the 13th, then upwards of an inch over Sunday, Monday, Tuesday. They also show a slight chance tomorrow (Monday) night. As always, take a BIG grain of salt with any forecasts this far in advance: http://www.wunderground.com/q/locid:MXJO0760? The Mexican ConAgua forecast predicts a chance of rain on Tuesday, but doesn't go out to next weekend yet: http://smn.cna.gob.mx/boletin/discusion/discusion.html The normally-reliable GFS computer model predicts some significant accumulations (maybe 1 inch?) not too far from us in the inland mountains on Wednesday and Thursday, but not much during next weekend: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/mike/gfs/crb_p24i_loop_12.html I can't add much local guidance to these predictions yet. It's too early to be very sure, but I think it's worth crying wolf rather than getting a rude surprise while your palapa is torn down or whatever... I'll keep you posted.
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Message Thread
- Slight chance of rain in next 10 days? - Bret B March 8, 2015, 12:47 pm
- Re: Slight chance of rain in next 10 days? - Neal March 8, 2015, 5:21 pm
- Good Visual Link Bret! - daniel c March 8, 2015, 8:38 pm
- Rain forecast: Monday update - Bret B March 9, 2015, 9:28 am
- Re: Chance of rain increasing for weekend - Bret B March 10, 2015, 5:01 pm
- Re: Chance of rain increasing for weekend - David Dagoli March 10, 2015, 5:22 pm
- Re: Chance of rain increasing for weekend - Daniel H March 10, 2015, 8:21 pm
- Re: Chance of rain increasing for weekend - Jane G March 10, 2015, 8:30 pm
- Re: Chance of rain increasing for weekend - hailstorms inland yesterday! - Bret B March 11, 2015, 8:51 am
- Re: Chance of rain increasing for weekend - hailstorms inland yesterday! - DanH March 11, 2015, 11:18 am
- Re: Chance of rain increasing for weekend - hailstorms inland yesterday! - Tim Edwards March 11, 2015, 2:35 pm
- Re: Rainy weekend - Thursday update - Bret B March 12, 2015, 8:04 am
- June Will Be Wonderful - Mark S. March 12, 2015, 8:47 am
- Re: Slight chance of rain in next 10 days? - Vicki and Robin March 12, 2015, 9:28 am
- Re: Slight chance of rain in next 10 days? - Rhema March 12, 2015, 12:24 pm
- Friday update: even heavier rain forecsat? - Bret B March 13, 2015, 8:50 am
- Re: Friday update: even heavier rain forecsat? - Julie and Rusty March 13, 2015, 9:56 am
- Re: Friday update: even heavier rain forecsat? - Larry F March 13, 2015, 11:02 am
- Re: Friday update: even heavier rain forecsat? - David Dagoli March 13, 2015, 11:20 am
- Re: Friday update: even heavier rain forecsat? - Daniel H March 13, 2015, 11:33 am
- Sat update: no big change - Bret B March 14, 2015, 8:41 am
- Sun update: "firehose" turning our way later today? - Bret B Yesterday, 9:58 am
- Mon.rain totals. - Bret B Today, 8:32 am
- Re: Mon.rain totals. - Ron Smith Today, 9:00 am
- Re: Mon.rain totals. - lisa Fern Today, 9:20 am
- Re: Mon.rain totals. - Larry F Today, 9:28 am
- Re: Mon.rain totals. - Daniel H Today, 9:34 am
- Re: Mon.rain totals. - Bret B Today, 10:45 am
- Re: Mon.rain totals. - Bret B Today, 10:39 am
- Re: Mon.rain totals. - Larry F Today, 12:02 pm
- Re: Mon.rain totals. - DanH Today, 1:13 pm
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