Hello sports fans, it's just about that time of year again! I'm trying to keep an eye on the weather down there while I get done with some more things up here in Arizona. I'll be off-line about half the time before getting back down there in mid-June (hopefully.) So don't rely only on my reports because they may be intermittent.
Regarding rain reporting: I'm coming back with another rain gauge, but it would be great if someone down there could keep a bucket or jar outside to measure daily accumulation until I can take over.
On to the weather news:
For the first time this season a couple of Invests are developing far down to the south, one of which might travel along the usual storm track parallel to the Mexican coastline in the next few days.
NHC 5-day graphical outlook: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=5
(description of the Invest closer to the coast "An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles south of the coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of the system by mid-week while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent"
The Weather Underground (for Manzanillo airport) agrees with the development of this system and predicts significant chances of rain starting Thursday:
Hopefully this system stays offshore, but remember that the first few systems of the season sometimes take a right turn and threaten parts of the coastline. Keep an eye out!