Hi guys, sorry for the very erratic weather reporting lately. Here's a quick update on Dolores, but I'll be offline most of the next 3 days, so don't rely on my reports for important info:
It's passing us today and tonight, well offshore (170 miles to our SW.) It's predicted to strengthen to a Cat 1 hurricane by tonight, and peak at Cat 3 by Wednesday far to our WNW:
Here is the GOES IR satellite loop that stays zoomed-in and centered on Dolores (AKA "Dolores Long Floater - no kidding!):
You can see the huge angry-looking "blob" that is Dolores. Although it looks very threatening for La Manz right now, the outer edge of these kinds of blobs usually doesn't drop much rain. We might get a little rain today directly from Dolores, and maybe some more in the next couple days from the indirect effects (moisture being imported by the low pressure of Dolores as it passes.)
The NHC Public Advisory says that the Tropical Storm Watch still covers our part of the coast, and warns about the possibility of winds, rains and waves:
"A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Cabo Corrientes
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 hours."
"WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area through early this afternoon.
RAINFALL: The outer rain bands of Dolores are expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches along the southwestern coast of Mexico from the state of Michoacan to Jalisco. Isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches are possible.
SURF: Swells generated by Dolores are expected to affect the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico and the Baja California peninsula during the next few days, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions."
So enjoy the cooler weather and whatever rains we get!