Hurricane soon?
Posted by Vicki Mercer on August 15, 2020, 9:09 am
https://smn.conagua.gob.mx/es/ indicates a low pressure system off Chiapas has an 80% probability of developing into a hurricane. Projected nearby offshore by Tuesday. | ------------Tropical Storm seems likely at least.
Posted by James on August 15, 2020, 9:37 am, in reply to "Hurricane soon?"
From the US National Hurricane Center https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=2 Here's what it has to say about the depression south of us. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are beginning to show signs of organization. Conditions appear conducive for further development and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form later this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. | ------------Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least.
Posted by Valerie D on August 15, 2020, 1:07 pm, in reply to "Tropical Storm seems likely at least."
Vicki - my understanding of the weather map leads me to believe that any major disturbance will be 200 - 300 miles offshore, so they MAY influence the smaller systems closer to short. I don't believe that this one will affect us much. Mi dos pesos. | ------------Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least.
Posted by James on August 16, 2020, 11:24 am, in reply to "Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least."
It appears looking at the national hurricane Center map that this will become a hurricane at some point. But hundreds of miles / kilometers offshore. Currently named 12E. The last named one was Fausto so maybe a g name? Any guesses? https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=2 | ------------Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least.
Posted by john p on August 16, 2020, 5:19 pm, in reply to "Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least."
Genevieve...at first I was going to go : Guinevere of the royal court of Arthur dressed in white satin, silk and lace...Donovan...but alas this lass is Genevieve... https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml | ------------Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least.
Posted by john p on August 16, 2020, 5:26 pm, in reply to "Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least."------------Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least.
Posted by James on August 16, 2020, 5:44 pm, in reply to "Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least."------------Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least.
Posted by john p on August 17, 2020, 8:51 am, in reply to "Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least."
Heads up shes spinning up the coast right now ! | ------------Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least.
Posted by Cruz on August 17, 2020, 9:27 am, in reply to "Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least."
Hola, john. Didn't she pass by already like at 2:30 PM with lightening galore? Might we get more? Cruz | ------------Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least.
Posted by James on August 17, 2020, 9:34 am, in reply to "Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least."------------Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least.
Posted by Cruz on August 17, 2020, 10:24 am, in reply to "Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least."
Thank you, James, I sit pleasantly corrected. Genevieve looks like it won't hit us but I hope we get some more rain but not in torrents. When do you think Genevieve will be by us? Vickie said Tuesday. AM or PM, any guesses? I'm planning my busy pandemic schedule, lol. Cruz
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Posted by Steve on August 17, 2020, 10:43 am, in reply to "Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least."
From the satellite view I am watching, the haze we are starting to experience is the beginning of the outer bands starting to hit us. Just guessing, but she may be passing by this evening. | ------------Genevieve is becoming a major hurricane
Posted by James on August 17, 2020, 1:19 pm, in reply to "Re: Tropical Storm seems likely at least."
It's still going to miss us but I suspect we will get some weather out of this. Here are a couple of views of it from about 1/2 hour ago.
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