https://www.accuweather.com/en/mx/manzanillo/232522/weather-forecast/232522
"And the original site I sent on Pamela was from the site many locals use"
In addition to my closing points I would add that I became much more aware of which sites are just publishing the results of programs and which sites are actually using a meteorologist to interpret the results. Programs are getting better but this Pamela event proves quite clearly that they are not there yet and human interpretation is necessary.
In addition, it was not just the prediction it was the wording of the Conagua site the put the icing on the cake of wrongness. Here is a Google translation of what they said with some notes inserted by me in capitol italics that would have made the prediction more realistic i.e. Conagua spoke as if it was fact, not prediction.
September 9, 2021 for September 10, THERE IS A 60% CHANCE a low pressure is formed in the pacific and A 50% CHANCE on the 10th it will become a siclon IF IT DOES BECOME A SICLON IT WILL BE with the name pamela in front of wings shores of Guerrero already making its effects felt in the municipality of Cihuatlan at night on Monday, September 13 and on Tuesday and Wednesday
a lot of water and strong winds this comes closer to earth than the hurricane that has just flooded parts of melaque that take precautions the land. It is already very wet and rivers and streams will still carry water.
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