So we have to algorithms and a human. After the Conagua event last month I'm not ready to shift authority to dataism and remain firmly fixed to humanism, for the time being. i.e I like my forecast to have a signature.
"Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Oct 6 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form off the coast of Central
America and southern Mexico in a day or two. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for development thereafter,
and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while the
system moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWOEP+shtml/061728_MIATWOEP.shtml
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